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#unfccc

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Die #COP29 endet erneut ohne bahnbrechende Fortschritte.

zdf.de/nachrichten/wissen/klim

Leere Phrasen, blockierende Staaten wie #SaudiArabien und einstimmige Beschlüsse verhindern wirksamen #Klimaschutz.

Reformvorschläge wie kleinere, lösungsorientierte Verhandlungsrunden stehen im Raum, doch die Zeit drängt.

Mit 1,5 Grad praktisch außer Reichweite bleibt die Frage: Wie überwinden wir den Stillstand?

ZDFheute · COP29: Klimaschutz auf der Kippe | Terra-X-KolumneBy Gregor Steinbrenner

It will be interesting to see how #UNFCCC lawyers deal with India's statement following the #NCQG decision at #COP29.

The delegate of the world's most populous country called the decision “nothing more than an optical illusion” and made clear that “India opposes the adoption of this document.”

Replied in thread

@WaNe
Oijoijoijoi. Maybe, your war against #Ukraine is not such a good idea after all, Putler? And not doing anything against #climatechange but fictional emissions reporting to #UNFCCC isn't paying off either, eh?

"Rising costs of equipment and fuel, high export duties, a rising benchmark interest rate that hit 21% in October as the country's central bank fights inflation, and the removal of some agricultural subsidies have also eaten into profit margins.
"It is evident that in 2022-2024, the price has been practically the same, while the cost of grain production has increased by at least 28%," said Sergei Lisovsky, a member of the lower house of Russia's parliament from the Kurgan region."

And your quote "As this year's harvesting campaign comes to an end, Russian farmers are assessing their losses from the exceptionally bad weather and considering their next steps amid falling profit margins for wheat, Russia's main agricultural export."

reuters.com/markets/commoditie

Wenn die #USA aus dem Pariser Klimaabkommen aussteigen und das #unfccc kündigen würden, sollte die Weltgemeinschaft einheitlich Steuern für alle Produkte und Dienstleistungen der USA erheben.
Sollte #trump sagen „den Klimawandel gibt es nicht“, sollte die Antwort sein, „die Steuer gibt es genau so wenig wie den Klimawandel“.
… leider utopisch…

zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/aus

ZDFheute · Was Trumps Wahlsieg für den Klimaschutz weltweit bedeutetBy Katharina Schuster

Auch die #Tageschau berichtet: Vor der #Weltklimakonferenz in #Baku warnen zwei UN-Berichte vor Rekordwerten klimaschädlicher #Treibhausgase.
tagesschau.de/ausland/europa/u

Die #CO2Konzentration stieg 2023 auf 420 ppm.
Die aktuellen #Klimapläne reichen laut #WMO und #UNFCCC nicht aus, um die Erwärmung auf 1,5 °C zu begrenzen.

Die EU wird aufgefordert, ambitioniertere Maßnahmen zu ergreifen.

tagesschau.de · Studien zu Treibhausgas: "Eindeutig nicht auf dem richtigen Weg"By tagesschau.de

»Die bisher vorliegenden Klimapläne der Länder reichen bei Weitem nicht aus, um die Vorgaben des #Paris-Abkommens einzuhalten. Das zeigt ein Bericht, den das #UN-Klimasekretariat #UNFCCC am heutigen Montag vorgelegt hat.

...

Demnach droht nach aktuellem Stand in diesem Jahrhundert eine Aufheizung des Planeten um 2,6 bis 3,1 Grad.«

#KlimaKrise #klimaziele #erderhitzung

klimareporter.de/international

Klimareporter° · Staaten planen viel zu wenig KlimaschutzBy Verena Kern

Y'all know how countries use creative accounting when reporting greenhouse gases to UNFCCC?
Especially their natural carbon sinks are overestimated regarding CO2.
I once checked Canada and Russia regarding their reporting of CO2 in sinks vs the steep increase in recent years of forest and peat fires. The reporting does not reflect this at all.

But enough of that outrage.
Here's a brand new reality check on methane emissions as reported to UNFCCC versus scientific analysis
"Comparison of observation- and inventory-based methane emissions for eight large global emitters" , #Petrescu, #GlenPeters et al 2024
essd.copernicus.org/articles/1

It shows how the comparison of scientific analysis versus reporting by the EU is quite congruent! Commendable and surprising.
While all others write fantasy novels in their reporting.

Very happy that we have these reality checks by scientists ❤️

essd.copernicus.orgComparison of observation- and inventory-based methane emissions for eight large global emittersAbstract. Monitoring the spatial distribution and trends in surface greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes, as well as flux attribution to natural and anthropogenic processes, is essential to track progress under the Paris Agreement and to inform its global stocktake. This study updates earlier syntheses (Petrescu et al., 2020, 2021, 2023), provides a consolidated synthesis of CH4 emissions using bottom-up (BU) and top-down (TD) approaches for the European Union (EU), and is expanded to include seven additional countries with large anthropogenic and/or natural emissions (the USA, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo)). Our aim is to demonstrate the use of different emission estimates to help improve national GHG emission inventories for a diverse geographical range of stakeholders. We use updated national GHG inventories (NGHGIs) reported by Annex I parties under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2023 and the latest available biennial update reports (BURs) reported by non-Annex I parties. Comparing NGHGIs with other approaches highlights that different system boundaries are a key source of divergence. A key system boundary difference is whether anthropogenic and natural fluxes are included and, if they are, how fluxes belonging to these two sources are partitioned. Over the studied period, the total CH4 emission estimates in the EU, the USA, and Russia show a steady decreasing trend since 1990, while for the non-Annex I emitters analyzed in this study, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, and DR Congo, CH4 emissions have generally increased. Quantitatively, in the EU the mean of 2015–2020 anthropogenic UNFCCC NGHGIs (15±1.8 Tg CH4 yr−1) and the mean of the BU CH4 emissions (17.8 (16–19) Tg CH4 yr−1) generally agree on the magnitude, while inversions show higher emission estimates (medians of 21 (19–22) Tg CH4 yr−1 and 24 (22–25) Tg CH4 yr−1 for the three regional and six global inversions, respectively), as they include natural emissions, which for the EU were quantified at 6.6 Tg CH4 yr−1 (Petrescu et al., 2023). Similarly, for the other Annex I parties in this study (the USA and Russia), the gap between the BU anthropogenic and total TD emissions is partly explained by the natural emissions. For the non-Annex I parties, anthropogenic CH4 estimates from UNFCCC BURs show large differences compared to the other global-inventory-based estimates and even more compared to atmospheric ones. This poses an important potential challenge to monitoring the progress of the global CH4 pledge and the global stocktake. Our analysis provides a useful baseline to prepare for the influx of inventories from non-Annex I parties as regular reporting starts under the enhanced transparency framework of the Paris Agreement. By systematically comparing the BU and TD methods, this study provides recommendations for more robust comparisons of available data sources and hopes to steadily engage more parties in using observational methods to complement their UNFCCC inventories, as well as considering their natural emissions. With anticipated improvements in atmospheric modeling and observations, as well as modeling of natural fluxes, future development needs to resolve knowledge gaps in the BU and TD approaches and to better quantify the remaining uncertainty. TD methods may emerge as a powerful tool to help improve NGHGIs of CH4 emissions, but further confidence is needed in the comparability and robustness of the estimates. The referenced datasets related to figures are available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12818506 (Petrescu et al., 2024).
Replied in thread

Trump would withdraw US from Paris #climate treaty again, campaign says

"One version of the orders includes removing the United States from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.

Doing so would effectively end U.S. participation in global climate talks, obliterating international cooperation when nations are still far off track from goals to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius since the pre-industrial era."

politico.com/news/2024/06/28/t
#ParisAgreement #UNFCCC

The Chief executive of the #UNFCCC :
We have two years to save the world.

Starting now, we need:

🔑 A quantum leap in climate finance

🔑 Bold new national climate plans by all nations that protect people, boost jobs and drive inclusive economic growth "

No words anymore. Leaden despair in chest and mind.

#UN #Climate Speech:
Two Years to Save the World – Simon #Stiell at Chatham House

"Some of you may think the title of today’s event is overly dramatic. Melodramatic, even.

So let me start by explaining briefly why the next two years are so essential in saving our planet.

First, we know the stakes. You’ve heard me talk before about record shattering heat and massive damage to economies, and how there’s no room for half measures. Let’s take all that as a given.

Second, we are at the start of a race which will determine the biggest winners in a new clean energy economy.

And with the global index of living standards in constant flux, each country’s climate responses will be key to whether they rise up the ladder or fall.

Whether they thrive or barely survive.

Third, for many countries, they will only be able to implement strong new climate plans if we see a quantum leap in climate finance this year.

Fourth, it’s about how the #ParisAgreement works.

As of today, national climate plans - called Nationally Determined Contributions or NDCs - in aggregate will barely cut emissions at all by 2030.

We still have a chance to make greenhouse gas emissions tumble, with a new generation of national climate plans. But we need these stronger plans, now.

And while every country must submit a new plan, the reality is #G20 emissions are around 80% of global emissions.

So G20 leadership must be at the core of the solution, as it was during the great financial crisis. That’s when the G20 came of age and showed major developed and developing economies can work together to avert global economic catastrophes.

Fifth and finally, every citizen of every country has an opportunity to be part of this transition. Every voice makes a difference. This year and next, we will need every voice more than ever. […]

In fact, business-as-usual will further entrench the gross inequalities between the world’s richest and poorest countries and communities that unchecked climate impacts are making much worse.

These #inequalities are kryptonite for cooperative global climate action, and every economy, every country and its people pays the price of that."

#UNFCCC #EuropeanElections #EU #EU2024 #Europawahl #Europawahl2024 #ClimateAction #ClimateEmergency
#ClimateJustice #Klimaschutz #Klimanotstand
#Klimagerechtigkeit #SozialeUngleichheit

unfccc.int/news/two-years-to-s

#UN climate chief calls on citizens to ‘raise their voices’ ahead of #elections

»The head of the UN’s climate change arm has urged citizens to “raise their voices” over global warming as more than half of the world goes to the polls in the months ahead.

Simon #Stiell, executive secretary of UN Climate Change, said there was a “disconnect” between the action ordinary people wanted governments to take to tackle global warming and the response of governments, in a speech in London on Wednesday.

In his message to “ordinary people everywhere”, Stiell said a public response was the only “sure-fire way to get climate at the top of the cabinet agenda”.

“Every voice matters. Yours have never been more important. If you want bolder climate action, now is the time to make yours count.”

Elections are to be held in 50 countries this year, including big polluters such as the US, EU and India.«

#UNFCCC #EuropeanElections #EU #EU2024 #Europawahl #Europawahl2024 #ClimateAction #ClimateEmergency #Klimaschutz #Klimanotstand

ft.com/content/8708dd1b-6f8e-4 [€]

www.ft.comUN climate chief calls on citizens to ‘raise their voices’ ahead of elections Simon Stiell seeks to push global warming to top of public agenda as big polluters go to the polls this year